IMF debt-to-GDP forecast errors

Today’s post by Jan-Hendrik Pretorius compares IMF forecast errors for country debt-to-GDP ratios for selected economies. Year T is current year, T+1 is one-year ahead and T+2 two years ahead. IMF forecast errors for South Africa have been low by global standards. The latest IMF forecasts do not project that South Africa’s ratio will stabilise.

EconData’s IMF module makes it easy to assess historical forecasts from the IMF without having to manually copy data from individual World Economic Outlook documents. You can also automate any workflows that use such data, whether you work in excel, R or Python. Get in touch if you are interested in subscribing to EconData.

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